AT&T (T) Slapped with a Downgrade

Tags: T
5 Jan 10:01pm
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The shares of AT&T (T: sentiment, chart, options) could be hit with some selling this morning after Bernstein Research reported that it expects slower wireless growth and a "relatively worse" wireline telecom performance in 2009, while cutting its ratings on telecommunication giants T and Verizon Communications Inc (VZ). The brokerage cut Verizon to "underperform" from "market perform" and AT&T to "market perform" from "outperform."

"We believe the TelCo stocks have come too far, too fast. With strong Q4 outperformance, the sector has traded as a strong defensive/staple. But the sector is more appropriately viewed as a late-stage cyclical, in our view," analyst Craig Moffett wrote in a note to clients.

"AT&T and Verizon may indeed be somewhat more recession-resistant than most business. But we believe they are nevertheless much more cyclically exposed than consensus estimates (and valuations) would suggest," said Moffett, who cut his price target on AT&T to $27 from $35 and on Verizon to $27 from $32.

The shares of T have been grinding higher from their near-term low of $20.90 set in mid-October. The stock has created a series of higher lows, gaining more than 40% along the way. However, the security is facing staunch resistance at the 30 level. This round-number level has capped the shares since the start of October.

Traders are already skeptical of the shares of T. The Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio for T stands at 0.96, which is higher than 86% of all those taken during the past year. This indicates that short-term options speculators have been more bearishly aligned toward the stock just 14% of the time during the past year.

However, there is still ample room for downgrades. T has earned 12 "buy" ratings and 6 "holds," according to Zacks. Any additional downgrades could spell trouble for the shares.


Copyright Schaeffer's Investment Research http://www.schaeffersresearch.com

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Schaeffer’s Investment Research, founded by Bernie Schaeffer in 1981, is a research-driven provider of investment research and recommendations featuring a unique, time-tested analysis of investor expectations. Schaeffer's contrarian approach, called Expectational Analysis®, focuses on stocks with technical and fundamental trends that run counter to investor expectations. The firm publishes Bernie Schaeffer's Option Advisor, the nation's leading options subscription publication and it's website, www.SchaeffersResearch.com, is recognized as one of the leading information sources for stock and options traders and was cited as the top options website by both Forbes and Barron's.