Solar Sector Plunges Following Negative Analyst Commentary

Tags: FSLR
13 Jan 4:29am
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The solar sector is taking quite a beating today, with the Claymore/MAC Global Solar Energy Index (TAN: sentiment, chart, options) exchange-traded fund (ETF) plunging more than 9% compared to the S&P 500 Index's (SPX) loss of about 2.65%. While the slackening demand for alternative energy sources amid plummeting oil prices bears at leas some of the blame, Robert Stone, an analyst with brokerage firm Cowen, is looking toward earnings estimates and worsening credit conditions.

According to a blog posting by Eric Savits at Barron's Tech Trader Daily, Stone cut his estimates for the solar sector across the board. "Street estimates generally have Q1 revenue flat-to-up sequentially, but we see a down tick as more likely," he writes. "The main sticking point appears to be project financing, rather than the price of modules."

Drilling down on the report, the Cowen analyst offered up the following estimate cuts:

Looking at the sentiment backdrops for these equities reveals that there could be ample room for more analysts and investors to jump on the bearish bandwagon. Specifically, CSUN's SOIR of 0.19 indicates that calls more than quintuple puts among near-term options, and ranks just 2 percentage points shy of an annual low. Elsewhere, ESLR's SOIR of 0.40 ranks below 88% of all those taken in the past year.

Sentiment figures for solar stocks

At last check, all 5 of the stock's mentioned above were off by more than 8%. The lone exception is ESLR, which has found a modicum of support at the 3 level - which is home to the equity's 10-week moving average.


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