Aetna (AET) Affirms 2008 Outlook, Adjusts 2009 Guidance

Tags: AET
12 Jan 10:07pm
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Before the open this morning, Aetna (AET: sentiment, chart, options) affirmed its 2008 earnings forecast of $3.90 - $3.95 per share. Aetna added that it will update its 2009 forecast currently expected at 12% to 14% growth in operating earnings per share, excluding rising pension costs. Including the projected year-over-year increase in pension expense of 54 cents per share, Aetna projects full-year 2009 operating earnings per share to be slightly lower than 2008.

Options players are currently optimistic about the stock's prospects. The Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) for AET stands at 0.55, as call open interest nearly doubles puts open interest among near-term options. This reading is lower than 82% of all those taken during the past 52 weeks, indicating that short-term options speculators have been more optimistically aligned just 18% of the time during the past year.

Wall Street is also smitten with the shares, as 10 of the 13 analysts following AET rate it a "buy" or better, leaving the security vulnerable to downgrades.

From a technical perspective, the stock is battling staunch resistance at the 30 level -- a round-number region that has capped the stock during the past 2 weeks. A rejection here could cause some of the bullish sentiment to unwind toward the shares.


Copyright Schaeffer's Investment Research http://www.schaeffersresearch.com

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Schaeffer’s Investment Research, founded by Bernie Schaeffer in 1981, is a research-driven provider of investment research and recommendations featuring a unique, time-tested analysis of investor expectations. Schaeffer's contrarian approach, called Expectational Analysis®, focuses on stocks with technical and fundamental trends that run counter to investor expectations. The firm publishes Bernie Schaeffer's Option Advisor, the nation's leading options subscription publication and it's website, www.SchaeffersResearch.com, is recognized as one of the leading information sources for stock and options traders and was cited as the top options website by both Forbes and Barron's.