Netflix Rallies on Bullish Comments from Piper Jaffray

Tags: NFLX
8 Jul 1:48am
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Netflix (NFLX: sentiment, chart, options) shares have collected a 2% gain after some bullish commentary from Piper Jaffray. The brokerage firm reiterated its "buy" rating and its $45 price target on the online firm, noting that the stock is looking undervalued as it trades below 30. During the second quarter, NFLX managed to boost site traffic by 2%, bucking a usual seasonal downtrend. Cheered by this news, Piper Jaffray said there is a "high likelihood ... of strong results for the next several quarters."

The brokerage firm also offered 3 possible outcomes for 2009 earnings. The worst-case scenario would be $1.21 per share; mid-case is $1.50 per share; and best-case is $1.81 per share. On average, analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial expect NFLX to earn $1.54 per share during fiscal 2009.

While the stock is still clinging to a slim 2.5% year-to-date gain, NFLX is down significantly from its mid-April highs near the 41 level. As a result, option traders have rushed to purchase bearishly oriented options. During the past 10 days on the International Securities Exchange, traders have bought (to open) approximately 4 puts for each 1 call.

Even more compelling, short interest represents a massive 66% of the stock's available float. In short, the online movie-rental firm looks well-poised to benefit from an unwinding of investor pessimism. However, the road higher could be a rocky one today's rally was stopped short by the stock's overhead 10-day moving average.


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Schaeffer’s Investment Research, founded by Bernie Schaeffer in 1981, is a research-driven provider of investment research and recommendations featuring a unique, time-tested analysis of investor expectations. Schaeffer's contrarian approach, called Expectational Analysis®, focuses on stocks with technical and fundamental trends that run counter to investor expectations. The firm publishes Bernie Schaeffer's Option Advisor, the nation's leading options subscription publication and it's website, www.SchaeffersResearch.com, is recognized as one of the leading information sources for stock and options traders and was cited as the top options website by both Forbes and Barron's.