Margin Concerns Pressure Apple (AAPL) Following iPhone 3G Release

Tags: AAPL
16 Jul 5:15am
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The release of Apple's (AAPL: sentiment, chart, options) iPhone 3G was supposed to be one of the biggest events in the technology sector this year. So why has the stock slipped more than 1.7% so far this week? According to Silicon Alley Insider, the answers can be found in the margins.

The tech blog reports that Travis McCourt, a Morgan Keegan analysts, "whacked his gross margin estimates for the June quarter, fiscal 2008, and fiscal 2009." McCourt believes that Apple's margins are "likely to be down significantly" year-over-year because of "new/refreshed products and because component prices have gotten more expensive."

I would like to add inflated investor expectations to this equation, as the stock's Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) of 0.81 ranks above just 35% of all those taken during the past year - indicating a preference for bullish call options over put options. Meanwhile, Zacks.com reports that 15 of the 18 analysts following AAPL rate the shares a "buy" or better. Laying this sentiment against the rather poor reaction to the iPhone 3G's respectable weekend sales numbers, and we have the makings of a "sell on the news" event.


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Schaeffer’s Investment Research, founded by Bernie Schaeffer in 1981, is a research-driven provider of investment research and recommendations featuring a unique, time-tested analysis of investor expectations. Schaeffer's contrarian approach, called Expectational Analysis®, focuses on stocks with technical and fundamental trends that run counter to investor expectations. The firm publishes Bernie Schaeffer's Option Advisor, the nation's leading options subscription publication and it's website, www.SchaeffersResearch.com, is recognized as one of the leading information sources for stock and options traders and was cited as the top options website by both Forbes and Barron's.