Consumer Inflation Outpaces Expectations; Foreclosures on the Rise

Tags: DIA
13 Jun 9:39pm
Read original blog entry

The latest inflation and foreclosure data have hit the Street this morning. The Labor Department reported that a jump in energy prices caused consumer prices to grow at their fastest pace in 6 months in May. The consumer price index (CPI) gained 0.6% in May, outpacing the 0.5% increase expected by economists. Energy prices spiked 4.4% for the month, logging their biggest rise since November. Food prices edged just 0.3% higher. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, gained 0.2% to match economists' expectations. The CPI has gained 4.2% during the past year, and raced ahead at an annualized pace of 4.9% during the past 3 months.

With one eye on this jump in inflation, Barclays Capital said it expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates twice this year. In a note released this morning, the analysts said that the Fed will raise rates by a quarter-point in September and again in October. By the end of 2009, the group expects the fed-funds rate to arrive at 3.5% from its current perch at 2%. Previously, Barclays predicted the Fed would leave rates flat at 2% until the first quarter of 2009.

In other economic news, RealtyTrac said that foreclosure activity was up 7% in May, a year-over-year spike of 48%. One in every 483 U.S. households received a foreclosure filing during the month, representing the highest monthly foreclosure rate since January 2005, when RealtryTrac began its reports. This marks the third month in a row foreclosures have risen.

Stocks are higher out of the gate this morning, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up nearly 70 points, the S&P 500 Index up 7 points, and the Nasdaq Composite collecting a gain of 18 points.


Copyright Schaeffer's Investment Research http://www.schaeffersresearch.com

Comments

Back to top

Post comment

Back to top

Post a comment

Please login to post a comment

About

SchaeffersResearch

Schaeffer’s Investment Research, founded by Bernie Schaeffer in 1981, is a research-driven provider of investment research and recommendations featuring a unique, time-tested analysis of investor expectations. Schaeffer's contrarian approach, called Expectational Analysis®, focuses on stocks with technical and fundamental trends that run counter to investor expectations. The firm publishes Bernie Schaeffer's Option Advisor, the nation's leading options subscription publication and it's website, www.SchaeffersResearch.com, is recognized as one of the leading information sources for stock and options traders and was cited as the top options website by both Forbes and Barron's.