November Sales at American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) Best Expectations

Tags: AEO
5 Dec 2:21am
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Before the open this morning, American Eagle Outfitters (AEO: sentiment, chart, options) marched into the spotlight to reveal that November same-store sales slipped 11%, while total sales dropped 5% to $272.8 million. Analysts had predicted a decline of 15.2%. The company stated that November sales reflected soft demand early in the month, followed by an improvement over Thanksgiving weekend. The company now expects fourth-quarter earnings of 30 36 cents per share, compared to the Street estimate for a profit of 39 cents per share.

The shares of the trendy retailer are down slightly this afternoon, hovering at the break-even level. The security has been in a steep downtrend since reaching a peak of $34.80 in January 2007. The stock has since lost 73% under its 10-month moving average.

Sentiment is deeply entrenched in the bears' camp. The Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio rests at 0.85, which is in the 75th percentile. This reading indicates that investors have been more pessimistically aligned toward the shares just 25% of the time during the past year.

What's more, the International Securities Exchange (ISE) has reported a preference for puts. During the past 10 trading days, an average of 2.7 puts have been purchased to open for every 1 call purchased to open. This ratio of puts to calls is higher than 75% of the readings taken during the past year, indicating a growing skepticism among options players.


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Schaeffer’s Investment Research, founded by Bernie Schaeffer in 1981, is a research-driven provider of investment research and recommendations featuring a unique, time-tested analysis of investor expectations. Schaeffer's contrarian approach, called Expectational Analysis®, focuses on stocks with technical and fundamental trends that run counter to investor expectations. The firm publishes Bernie Schaeffer's Option Advisor, the nation's leading options subscription publication and it's website, www.SchaeffersResearch.com, is recognized as one of the leading information sources for stock and options traders and was cited as the top options website by both Forbes and Barron's.