3M Company (MMM) Downgraded, Put Traders Prove to be Smart Money

Tags: MMM
3 Dec 4:49am
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If you were 1 of the traders that jumped on 3M Company's (MMM: sentiment, chart, options) December 65 put yesterday, you are sitting pretty right at the moment. The stock has fallen more than 3% so far today, after Citigroup downgraded the shares to "sell" from "hold." The brokerage firm also cut its 2009 earnings estimate to $4.95 per share.

"The volatility in currency translation will likely be a greater headwind to fourth-quarter earnings than initially guided," Citigroup stated in a research note accompanying the downgrade.

Returning to the options pits, I detailed a potential put-buying trade on MMM in yesterday's edition of Options Update. A block of 6,063 MMM December 65 puts traded at an ask price of $3.75, placing breakeven for the position at a trade below $61.25. Currently, MMM is hovering near $60.50 per share, with the December 65 put sporting a bid of $5.40; equating to a profit of 44% on this particular trade in less than 24 hours.

The sentiment outlook I detailed yesterday remains bearishly aligned for MMM, despite this morning's downgrade. Specifically, 5 of the 9 analysts covering the shares still rate them a "buy" or better, leaving ample room for more brokerage firms to follow Citigroup's lead. If the 60 level fails to hold as support, watch for a potentially sharp decline in MMM shares during the short-term.


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Schaeffer’s Investment Research, founded by Bernie Schaeffer in 1981, is a research-driven provider of investment research and recommendations featuring a unique, time-tested analysis of investor expectations. Schaeffer's contrarian approach, called Expectational Analysis®, focuses on stocks with technical and fundamental trends that run counter to investor expectations. The firm publishes Bernie Schaeffer's Option Advisor, the nation's leading options subscription publication and it's website, www.SchaeffersResearch.com, is recognized as one of the leading information sources for stock and options traders and was cited as the top options website by both Forbes and Barron's.