Potash Tries to Weather Two Price-Target Cuts

Tags: POT
20 Nov 2:05am
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Agricultural firm Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan (POT: View sentiment for POTsentiment, chart, options) is slipping this afternoon, shedding nearly 3% after Canaccord Adams cut its price target to $130 from $150. This cut was accompanied by a similar move for sector peer Mosaic (MOS: View sentiment for MOSsentiment, chart, options) , and comes on the heels of a price-target cut by BMO. Monday, POT saw BMO lower its price target to $145 from $155, a move that rolled right off the stock's back - as POT closed only mildly lower. The thing that bothers me about these price-target cuts is the fact that POT is trading near the 70 level -- not the 145 level, the 130 level, or even the 100 level!

Further contributing to my skeptical view is the fact that POT's 10-week moving average is descending through the 95 region. The last time POT finished a month atop this trendline was the middle of June. During the past 26 weeks, POT has slipped 66% - knowing that the year-to-date loss for POT is 51%, it doesn't take a math genius to see that the heaviest losses have taken place recently. Nevertheless, option players are bullishly aligned, as the firm's Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) of 0.54 is lower than 97% of the past year's worth of readings ... if (and when) this optimism unwinds, the stock could face quite a bit of negative pressure.

To end this blog on a light note, check it out: the God of Thunder rang the opening bell on the NYSE today ... that is a sign that the Apocalypse is upon us; trust me, I have a theology degree.


Copyright Schaeffer's Investment Research http://www.schaeffersresearch.com

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Schaeffer’s Investment Research, founded by Bernie Schaeffer in 1981, is a research-driven provider of investment research and recommendations featuring a unique, time-tested analysis of investor expectations. Schaeffer's contrarian approach, called Expectational Analysis®, focuses on stocks with technical and fundamental trends that run counter to investor expectations. The firm publishes Bernie Schaeffer's Option Advisor, the nation's leading options subscription publication and it's website, www.SchaeffersResearch.com, is recognized as one of the leading information sources for stock and options traders and was cited as the top options website by both Forbes and Barron's.